Sunday, May 26, 2019

Alexandru Florea Economic Development and Growth

Indicators of economical development Labor productivity plodding Machine tool industry in total industry Weighted Machine tool exports in total exports Weighted Brain drain in total export Weighted Employment in services sparing growth is trifleed by the evolution of specific economic business leaderes, with benefits for the social and economic life, in a specific time and argona. The most known index for calculating the economic growth is the GAP/ capita. Types of economic growth Extensive economic growth- based on growing the GAP/capita by increasing the sum of workers, arable lands etc.Consolidated economic growth it would be realized at the global scale Zero economic growth is happening when the economic indexes and the dry land of the do main argon increasing with the same percentage. The single way that a state can achieve economic development and growth is by using their economies to flip investments. Economic development represents a qualitative process while econom ic growth is a quantitative one. However the processes of economic development and growth are produced simultaneous therefore they must be considered together. The first part of the analysis will provide an overall picture of Romans economic performance.It will be presented the sure economic development situation and its growth during the analyzed years. The second part of the analysis represents an econometric exercise which will provide the connection between GAP, urban Population and Employment. At the end of the exercise it will 3 be possible to predict values of GAP depending on Urban Population and the train of employment. The third part of the analysis will provide information regarding the development lacks of Romans economy. The fourth part of analysis refers to Romania market inefficiency.It will provide the most pregnant issues about market failures in Romania. The fifth part of analysis includes the growth Policies. It will present the main targets to improve Romans economy for the next years. B. Analysis 1. methodological analysis For this analysis were chosen indexes from 5 areas Romania, Bulgaria, Germany, France and European Union. Besides Romania, which is the main subject of the analysis, it was chosen Bulgaria like a state with similar economic situation. Germany and France were chosen because they represent two of the most developed soil in Europe.In the same time they represent examples of how the economic situation should be in a developed country therefore Romania must achieve a close level to them in order to become a State with a developed economy. Nevertheless, all of them are member states of European union therefore all of them must converge to the same level, as result, it is absolutely necessary to include the European union indexes. first-class honours degree part of the analysis contains statistical results about the economic development and growth situation in Romania. The analyzed period refers to 1990-2013.For this part there were seed information series, with annual frequency, from the ordained website of World Bank. Second part of the analysis is represented by a linear regression model. For analyzing the correlation between variables, were used information series (1991-2012), with annual frequency, from the official website of World Bank. The data refers only to Romania. The purpose of the exercise was to find the influence Of that urban population and employment have on GAP. The form of linear regression model is AMPLE+?* POP 4 Where BIB Gross Domestic Product AMPLE -? Employment POP the urban population percentageThe GAP was deflated referring to the year 2005 as the base year. Views was the soft used for exam and correcting the regression model. The intensity between the dependent variable and the unaffiliated variables was analyzed considering the correlation coefficient R The sign efficacy of linear correlation coefficients was tested using t-test Starting from the hypothesis HO th e model is not binding and HI the model is valid, the validity of the regression model was tested using the Fischer test.The models significance was tested with Wald test for testing the regression coefficients F test for testing the significance of the correlation ratio. graphic method, Durbin Watson test and Breach Godlier test for verifying the independence of the random errors. White test for verifying the homosexuality. -Jarred-Berea test for verifying the atomic number 7 hypothesis. Third part of the analysis contains statistical results about the development lacks in Romania. The analyzed period refers to 1990-2013.For this part there were used data series, with annual frequency, from the official website of World Bank. Fourth part of the analysis contains statistical results about the market inefficiency in Romania. The analyzed period refers to 1990-2013. For this part there were used data series, with annual frequency, from the official website of World Bank. Fifth pa rt of the analysis presents the main targets of the current development policy. It represents a summary of the Romania National Strategy for Development. 5 Economic Development and Growth Of Romania 2.Used data Gross Domestic Product According to Ryan Barnes The GAP is the predecessor of all macroeconomic indexes as an aggregate measure of the total economic output of a country, GAP represents the total value of goods and services produced by the economy, in a specific period. Frequency annual Source of hoard data World Bank website Other changes *only for the regression model 1,000,000,000 Expressed in US$ Inflation Inflation is defined as a sustained increase in the general level of prices for goods and services. It is measured as an annual percentage increase.As inflation rises, every dollar you own buys a little percentage of a good or service. Frequency annual Expressed in percentage Urban population index According to National Statistic point Urban population index refers t o the number of people which live in urban areas Other changes *only for the regression model 1 ,OHO Expressed in percentage of the total population Employment index Employment index refers to the active population (15-64 years old) rate the ratio between the active population and the total number of people with the same age. Other changes *only for the regression model AMPLE( 1)= AMPLE(O)* 1,000 Health Expenditure index Health expenditure refers to the sum of general and closed-door health expenditure. It covers the provision of health services (preventive and curative), family planning activities, nutrition activities, and emergency aid assassinated for health but does not include provision of water and sanitation. It is calculated as the percentage of a nations GAP. Frequency annual Pupil-teacher index Pupil-teacher ratio the number of pupils enrolled in primary school divided by the number of primary school teachers.Expressed in absolute number Public spending on schooling i ndex Public expenditure on education as % of GAP is the total public expenditure (current and capital) on education expressed as a percentage of the Gross Domestic Product (GAP) in a given year. Public expenditure on education includes government spending on educational institutions (both public and private), education administration, and transfers/subsidies for private entities (students/households and other private entities) 7 3.Literature review About Romans Economy According to the Constitution of 1991, Economy of Romania is an economy based on supply and demand rule therefore it performer that the state must ensure the freedom of trade and the fair competition. In 1 939 the most important branches of industry were the oil and natural gas industries. 6. 24 million tons of oil was produced in Romania in 1939 and the total exports of oil valued 56 million dollars. Furthermore, with a production slightly lower than Germany, Romania had a very good situation in terms of grain.Howev er salt and tobacco had also an important role for Romans economy during this period. Even if it was of poor quality, tobacco was the main source of income for the people from the Danube Plain. After more than four decades, at the end of 1 989, economy of Romania had the basic communist economy, in all branches of industry it was a state cooperative monopoly. Price, credits, salaries, the interest rate were directed y the single national plan without reflecting the supply and demand needs. On 21st of December 1 989 Romania had no external debt, the external debt was fully paid by the end of February 1989.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.